Clarissa notices that her satellite TV signal becomes scrambled whenever there is a major thunderstorm in her area. She concludes that the scrambled satellite signal must be causing the severe thunderstorms. Clarissa is
◦ definitely confusing correlation with causation.
◦ very probably correct in her conclusion that the scrambled satellite is the cause of the thunderstorms.
◦ likely correct that there is causation, but the causation is more likely running in the opposite direction in that the severe thunderstorms are the cause of the scrambled satellite signal.
◦ probably misguided in that there is no apparent correlation or causation in this situation.