What can we conclude from research looking at the hot hand' in basketball?
a. There is support for the notion that a basketball player is more likely to make a basket following a hit rather than a miss.
b. People often tend to see patterns in truly random sequences.
c. People make judgments based on the ease with which they can recall relevant examples.
d. People often fail to consider personality information when estimating the likelihood of an event.
Question 2
Eighty percent of people who live in your community are republicans. At a town event you are introduced to Jim who tells you he is pro choice on the issue of abortion. Based on this information, you incorrectly conclude that Jim is a democrat.
Your failure to take into account the number of people who are republicans when making your judgment about Jim illustrates an example of:
a. the framing heuristic
b. anchoring an adjustment
c. the base rate fallacy
d. the negativity bias
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