Answer to Question 1
This was the first computer study of future supplies. The model was rather
complex for the time, and the result appeared realistic. Subsequent developments rendered
some of the worst predictions overstated, but this was a valiant first look at worldwide data
analysis.
Answer to Question 2
We give two possible explanations.
(1) We ask ourselves Where could any energy that is lost have gone? It can't go into the
magnetic field, because it is getting bigger and smaller with the alternating current. It can't
go to the current, because the charges are just sloshing back and forth with the
alternating current. The only place it can go is to Joule heat (and, indeed, some energy does
go to Joule heating). However, in practice, the loss is very small. Energy should be
conserved.
(2) As was seen in the section on transformers, each loop wrapped around an iron core
carrying an alternating current has the same potential difference (voltage) across it. Each
loop causes or is caused by a changing magnetic field. These fields all add together because
they all point in the same way. If I have 100 loops on one side, they can make the magnetic
field by adding together 100 little magnetic fields from each of the current loops. Suppose I
have only one loop on the other side. Those 100 loops could make quite a big magnetic
field all together, to make one equally big on the other side is going to require a much larger
change in current, so the current itself will have to be greater (by a factor of 100). More
loops, more voltage and less current needed to maintain the magnetic field; fewer loops, less
voltage and more current needed to maintain the magnetic field. In some sense, the current
trades off the voltage.
Consider a concrete example: the potential difference (voltage) across each loop is 1 V. The
product of voltage and current for the 100 loops is 100(1 V) x the current in a single loop
(call it i): (1 V) x i. The product of voltage and current for the single loop is (1 V) x (100i).
These numbers are the same, so the power on each side is the same, and power is the rate of
passage of energy through the transformer, so the energy is the same on each sideit is
conserved.