Suppose you have a friend who is just beginning college, and she plans to go to school half-time. She estimates that she will earn her bachelor's degree in about 7 years, rather than 8 years. It is most likely that she
a. is avoiding the use of the recognition heuristic.
b. is using a syllogism inappropriately.
c. is falling victim to the planning fallacy.
d. should make better use of conditional reasoning.
Question 2
Suppose that a politician is drafting her position paper on the educational situation in her district. She is trying to decide whether she should say, If we adopt Plan A, we estimate that 10 of our students will drop out of high school before grad
Alternately, she might say, If we adopt Plan A, we estimate that 90 of our students will graduate from high school. She would probably find that her audience responds differently to these two versions of her talk, because of
a. the belief-bias effect.
b. the anchoring and adjustment heuristic.
c. the hindsight bias.
d. the framing effect.
China's proposed supercollider plans to be twice the size of the Large Hadron Co
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