Isabel noted that whenever she wore her green contact lenses, the Chicago White Sox would win that evening. Based on this observation, she developed the "green-eyes-for-White-Sox" theory of winning. It is most likely
true that Isabel
◦ showed good reasoning for the reason the White Sox would win.
◦ committed the
ceteris paribus error.
◦ committed the fallacy of logic.
◦ was confusing causality.