A poll conducted the day before the student-body presidential election at a 17,000-student midwestern university showed that 52.5 percent favored Jesus, the rest favoring Yin Ling. The margin of error was 4.5 percentage points. Since the poll showed that over half favored Jesus, Yin Ling should have
◦ expected to lose, because she knew Jesus would get between 52.5% and 57%.
◦ stayed in the race, because the likely population vote for Jesus is in a range containing less than 50%.
◦ expected to win, because Jesus would get 48% of the vote.
◦ conceded the race, because Jesus would get more than 50% of the vote on election day.