When Supreme Court Justice Blackmun heard that the prediction of violence is wrong two out of three times, he concluded that predicting violence using a coin flip would be more accurate. Why was he wrong?
a. The specificity of a coin flip is above 50 percent.
b. The sensitivity of a coin flip is above 50 percent.
c. The base rate of violence is much lower than 50 percent.
d. The coin flip is random, not based on clinical judgment.
Question 2
Dr. Davis has incorrectly hospitalized someone who is not dangerous. Dr. Eliot has incorrectly released someone from the hospital who is, in fact, still dangerous. Dr. Davis has made a ___________ error, while Dr. Eliot has made a __________ error.
a. justifiable / unjustifiable
b. unjustifiable / justifiable
c. false positive / false negative
d. false negative / false positive
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