Answer to Question 1
In general, the formula does not hold and is not a good predictor of future devaluations. Even worse, it failed to predict correctly even the direction in which the spot exchange rate would change.
Answer to Question 2
The difference between onshore and offshore interest rates on similar assets denominated in the same currency should be small if information about global investment opportunities is transmitted efficiently. Data show that this is the case for the U.S., Germany, Japan and the Netherlands.
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