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Author Question: Which group is better calibrated as a whole, physicians or weather forecasters, according to ... (Read 49 times)

K@

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on: Jul 24, 2018
Which group is better calibrated as a whole, physicians or weather forecasters, according to research?
 a. Physicians
  b. Weather forecasters
  c. Neither; they are both very badly calibrated
  d. They are both about the same

Question 2

Research shows that physicians are not well calibrated in terms of assessing personal probability. Physicians tend to overestimate the probability of disease, especially when the baseline risk is low. Why might this be?


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reelove4eva

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Reply #1 on: Jul 24, 2018
Answer to Question 1

B

Answer to Question 2

ANY REASONABLE ANSWER OK. EXAMPLES: 1) THEY ARE TRYING TO AVOID AN ERROR IN MISSING A DISEASE THAT IS ACTUALLY PRESENT; 2) THEY ARE AFRAID OF MALPRACTICE SUITS. 3)THE AVAILABILITY OR REPRESENTATIVENESS HEURISTIC MAY APPLY, IF THE SYMPTOMS ARE SIMILAR TO THOSE OF A DISEASE THE PHYSICIAN KNOWS. 4)FORGOTTEN BASE RATES APPLY.


K@

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Reply #2 on: Jul 24, 2018
Both answers were spot on, thank you once again


reelove4eva

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Reply #3 on: Jul 24, 2018
Great! Please up vote :D


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