A physician is trying to convince a man that he must give up smoking. The man initially believes that the probability of lung cancer is increased by only 10 if he smokes. Why are decision-making heuristics relevant to this situation?
a. The situation will encourage the conjunction fallacy.
b. The probability of an illusory correlation is increased.
c. Familiarity distorts availability judgments.
d. The man's estimate will be influenced by a low anchor.
Question 2
Anchoring and adjustment is relevant when we estimate confidence intervals because
a. we are overconfident about the adjustment process.
b. we rely too heavily on the anchor.
c. we make adjustments in our estimates that are larger than they should be.
d. we should apply the adjustment prior to the anchor.
A sample prescription written by a physician.
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