Question 1
Answer the question about the Law of Large Numbers.
Melissa tosses a fair coin 4 times. What can we reasonably conclude about the outcome of 4 heads occurring?
a. It will occur exactly one time.
b. It will probably never occur, because it is an unusual outcome.
c. It will occur exactly 4 times.
d. None of the above is true.
◦ b
◦ c
◦ a
◦ d
Question 2
Answer the question about the Law of Large Numbers.
A fair coin is tossed 5000 times. What can you say about getting the outcome of exactly 2500 tails?
a. Since the probability of a tail is 0.5 for each toss, you should expect exactly 2500 tails in 5000 tosses.
b. You should not expect exactly 2500 tails in 5000 tosses, but the proportion of tails should approach 0.5 as the number of tosses increases.
c. You should expect between 2475 and 2525 tails in 5000 tosses.
d. Getting 2500 tails is no more likely than getting any other number of tails in 5000 tosses.
◦ a
◦ d
◦ b
◦ c
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